mardi 25 septembre 2007

PPPP: profits privés, pertes publiques


Dans un communiqué ésotérique, le ministère des transports confirme un partenariat public-privé pour la route 25 à Montréal.
Le gouvernement parle d'une économie de 226 millions "en valeur actuelle sur 35 ans".

Il explique qu' il paiera la construction, au coût de 80 millions de dollars et versera 13 millions et demi par an, en "paiements de disponibilité". Pourtant, l'entretien est censé être au frais du privé...Enfin dans un jargon inommable, le gouvernement s' engage à " la remise liée aux revenus de péage, jusqu' à concurrence de 120% des revenus estimés(...)" Quid?

Boileau disait: "ce qui se conçoit bien s'énonce clairement, et les mots pour le dire viennent aisément."
Quant au document complet comparant les coûts du projet avec la méthode conventionnelle de financement gouvernemental, ce ne sera disponible que dans "quelques semaines".
Un simple calcul est troublant : le ministère estime qu' il passera 68 000 véhiculespar jour sur la 25 en 2011...Multipliez par 5 ans , par 365 jours, par $2.40 (en supposant que cela n'augmentera pas), cela donne $297 millions de revenus sur 5 ans.

L'économie de 226 millions sur 35 ans semble donc bien dérisoire, puisqu' elle serait épongée en 5 ans , si le gouvernement opérait lui- même le péage.
D'autant plus inquiétant est le fait que le gouvernement récupérera l'ouvrage dans 35 ans , au bout de sa vie utile: on pellete par en avant !

Ce que cela démontre tristement, c'est que le gouvernement a démissionné: incapable de gérer de façon saine et rigoureuse un projet profitable, il passe le relais au privé.


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